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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

西方制裁背景下的俄罗斯农业总体发展形势

文章摘要

自2014年乌克兰危机以来,在西方多轮经济制裁背景下俄罗斯农业加快实施进口替代战略,不断优化对农工综合体的支持措施。2022年俄罗斯农业生产创多项历史纪录,种植结构进一步优化,粮食和油料作物获得大丰收,产量创历史新高;家禽和养猪业发展迅速,且牛奶和乳制品的产量稳步增加。但受西方制裁和俄国内农业政策监管趋紧的多重影响,俄农工综合体在进口种子、农机设备和零部件方面出现短缺,生产成本不断攀升,而创纪录的粮食收成和出口限制等措施导致俄国内粮食市场供大于求的矛盾越发突出,大量储备引发粮食价格持续走低,加之受俄国内粮食存储基础设施薄弱和国内国际物流运力严重不足等影响,俄农业生产者的收入和生产企业盈利能力持续下降,这对俄农业后续的发展构成新的挑战。在此情况下,俄政府不断优化对农工综合体企业的国家扶持措施,旨在为行业稳步发展提供一切必要的资源和支持。同时,在西方制裁背景下,为提高本国粮食安全水平,提升农业生产效率,增加农产品出口量,促进行业稳步发展,俄政府在新的经济形势下出台了新版的《2030年前农工和渔业综合体发展战略》,进一步明确了该领域中长期的主要发展目标和任务,成为俄罗斯农业农村和渔业中长期发展的国家战略性文件,对促进行业发展具有重要的现实指导意义。

Abstract

Since the Ukrainian crisis in 2022,under the background of multiple rounds of western economic sanctions,Russia’s agriculture has accelerated the implementation of the import substitution strategy,and has continuously optimized its supporting measures for the agro-industrial complex. In 2022,Russia’s agricultural production set a number of historical records,the planting structure was further optimized,grain and oil crops had a bumper harvest,and the output hit a record high;the poultry and pig industries developed rapidly,and the output of milk and dairy products increased steadily. However,due to the multiple impacts of western sanctions and tightening supervision of Russia’s domestic agricultural policies,the supply of imported seeds,agricultural machinery and equipment and spare parts in Russia’s agro-industrial complex has been in short supply,and production costs have continued to rise. The contradiction between supply and demand due to record-high grain harvests and export restrictions has become more and more prominent. A large number of reserves has caused grain prices to continue to fall. In addition,due to the impact of weak domestic grain storage infrastructure and a serious shortage of domestic and international logistics capacity,the income of Russian agricultural producers and profitability of production enterprises have been reduced,which poses new challenges to the sustainable development of Russia’s agriculture. Under such circumstances,the Russian government has continuously optimized the supporting measures for agro-industrial complex enterprises,aiming to provide all necessary resources and support for the steady development of the industry. At the same time,under the background of western sanctions,in order to improve the level of food security and the efficiency of agricultural production,increase the export volume of agricultural products,and promote the steady development of the industry,the Russian government has issued a new version of the “Complex Development Strategy of Agriculture,Industry and Fisheries by 2030” under the new economic situation. This strategy further clarifies the medium and long-term development goals and tasks of Russia’s agricultural,rural and fishery industries,which has important practical guiding significance for promoting the development of these industries.

作者简介
蒋菁:蒋菁,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所副研究员,经济学博士,政治学博士后。