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2021年矛盾交织中的叙利亚问题

文章摘要

随着伊核协议、乌克兰危机等热点问题的发酵,叙利亚问题正在被边缘化。“日内瓦和谈”“阿斯塔纳进程”或是其他解决方案都没能发挥期待中的作用,反而更有利于相关势力完成在叙境内势力范围的划分。美国主导的制裁措施一度深刻影响着叙利亚的命运,但2021年开始,制裁措施也逐渐失去了效力,连美国自己也开始“遗忘”这个命运多舛的国家。叙利亚危机证明,要么是美国对叙政策及整体中东政策的失败,要么是美国对外宣称的战略目标及对巴沙尔政权的指责不实。无论怎样,在美国干预减弱的背景下,叙利亚问题相关势力的相互“磨合”,反倒促进了该地区相对稳定局面的形成,尽管这些还不足以带给叙利亚彻底的和平和统一,但相比内战已是质的转变,是朝着解决问题方向发展的基础。借此契机,中叙关系在两国元首定调的基础上,达成共识,稳步发展,向着构建人类命运共同体的目标勇毅前行。

Abstract

With the fermentation of hot issues such as the Iranian nuclear deal and the Ukraine crisis conflict,the Syrian issue is being marginalized. The “Geneva Peace Talks”,“Astana Process” or other solutions have failed to play the expected role,but are more conducive to the division of spheres of influence in Syria by the relevant forces. The U.S.-led sanctions once profoundly affected the fate of Syria,but starting from 2021,the sanctions have gradually lost their effectiveness;even the U.S.itself has begun to “forget” this ill-fated country. Syria crisis have proved that either the U.S.policy towards Syria and its overall Middle East policy have failed,or the U.S.strategic goals and its accusations against the Assad regime are untrue. In any case,in the context of the weakening U.S.intervention,the mutual “running-in” of forces related to the Syrian issue has instead promoted the formation of a relatively stable situation in the region. Although it is not enough to bring Syria complete peace and unity,a qualitative change is seen to work as the basis for the development in the direction of solving the problem. Taking this opportunity,the Sino-Syrian relationship has reached a consensus based on the tone set by the two heads of state,and is steadily developing toward the goal of building a community of human destiny.

作者简介
曹磊:曹磊,北京语言大学中东学院讲师,国别和区域问题专业博士研究生,研究方向为国际组织。