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2021年巴以问题进程与前景展望

文章摘要

2021年,巴以问题未取得突破性进展,甚至有愈演愈烈之势。巴以之间爆发了2014年加沙战争以来最猛烈的交火,双方关系紧张,冲突有所升级。战火将巴以问题从边缘化的境地重新拉回核心位置,使之再次成为国际社会关注的焦点。作为中东地区的根源性问题,巴以问题一直影响着国际和区域关系的发展和走向,加之阿拉伯世界呈现碎片化趋势,美国政府延续对以色列的偏袒政策,多种因素阻碍巴以和平进程的发展。尽管国际社会各方参与调解巴以冲突的意识不断增强,为缓和巴以形势、实现中东和平建言献策并做出努力,但实际成效微乎其微,巴以关系并未发生突破性的改变和发展,和平进程甚至有所倒退。本文总结了2021~2022年巴以问题发展进程中的重大事件,从中分析了影响和阻碍巴以和平进程的重要因素,在此基础上,对巴以问题的前景做出展望。

Abstract

2021 saw no breakthrough in the Palestinian-Israeli issue;in its stead,it has shown signs of intensification. The most violent exchange of fire since the Gaza War in 2014 has erupted,which has brought the Palestinian-Israeli issue back to the core from a marginalized position,making it once again the focus of international attention. As a root problem in the Middle East,the Palestinian-Israeli issue has been influencing the development and direction of international and regional relations. When it is coupled with the fragmentation trend in the Arab world and the continuation of the U.S.government’s biased policy toward Israel,a variety of factors have hindered the development of the Palestinian-Israeli peace process. Despite the growing awareness of the international community to participate in the mediation of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,and the efforts made to ease the Israeli-Palestinian situation and achieve peace in the Middle East,the actual results have been minimal,and there has been no breakthrough change or development in Israeli-Palestinian relations,and the peace process has even regressed. The present article summarizes the major events in the evolution of the Palestinian-Israeli issue between 2021 and 2022,and analyzes the important factors affecting and hindering the Palestinian-Israeli peace process,and on this basis,makes an outlook on the future of the Palestinian-Israeli issue in 2022.

作者简介
刘风华:刘风华,北京语言大学中东学院副教授,主要研究方向为阿汉语言对比研究与翻译、中东热点问题。