2021年黎巴嫩的政治稳定和经济发展受到贝鲁特爆炸、大规模经济崩溃和新冠疫情大流行复合效应的强烈冲击,再加上长期根深蒂固的政治腐败以及国家功能失调、危机应对措施管理不善,政治生态混乱持续升级。教派冲突和教俗矛盾使国家的政治局势呈现格局持续失衡、内外危机叠加的基本特征。经济方面,国家公共财政和国际收支恶化、汇率稳定性丧失,恶性通货膨胀持续爆发,银行业资不抵债,失业率和贫困率急剧上升等问题加剧了国家经济的整体崩溃。各种危机积重难返,对国家发展构成严重掣肘。经济状况恶化和政治不稳定在全国范围内引发了数千起示威活动,国内局势陷入前所未有的人道主义危机。2020年与沙特的外交危机使黎巴嫩国内的局势更加严峻,与海湾国家的外交困境成为黎巴嫩外交层面临的重大挑战。
Lebanon’s political stability and economic development in 2021 are strongly impacted by the combined effects of the Beirut explosion,a large-scale economic collapse and the COVID-19 epidemic. Moreover,because of the long-standing political corruption,state dysfunction,and poor management of crisis response,its political ecological chaos continues to escalate. Sectarian conflicts and conflicts between religion and secularism give the political situation of the country the basic characteristics of continued pattern imbalance and superimposition of internal and external crises. On the economic front,the country’s public finances and balance of payments have deteriorated,exchange rate stability has been lost,hyperinflation has erupted repeatedly,the banking sector has become insolvent,and unemployment and poverty have risen sharply,exacerbating the overall collapse of the country’s economy. Various crises are accumulating,posing serious constraints to the country’s development. Deteriorating economic conditions and political instability have sparked thousands of demonstrations across the country,plunging the country into an unprecedented humanitarian crisis. The diplomatic crisis with Saudi Arabia in 2020 has made the situation in Lebanon even worse,and its diplomatic dilemma with the Gulf countries has become a major challenge for Lebanese diplomats.