2021年是哈萨克斯坦独立三十周年，也是托卡耶夫执政的第三年，同时也是哈萨克斯坦“双核政治”存在的最后一年。这一年，哈萨克斯坦政局呈现两大特点。一是尽管改革步子略有放缓，但托卡耶夫的改革依然在持续推进，其对哈萨克斯坦政治、经济和社会等领域的影响力也在不断提升。在其推动下，哈萨克斯坦新时期政治改革的主基调逐渐清晰，即通过进一步发展多党制、政治竞争和意见多元化，加大对公民基本权利的保护，建立“一个强大的全权总统，一个有作为的议会，一个对人民负责任的政府”。二是哈萨克斯坦的权力过渡继续稳步进行。首任总统纳扎尔巴耶夫辞去了“祖国之光”党主席职务，托卡耶夫的执政地位进一步增强，托卡耶夫正尝试成为哈萨克斯坦各项事业真正意义上的领导者。但随着托卡耶夫改革的深入和执政地位的稳固，哈萨克斯坦精英内部分歧有所加大。近年来民众政治参与的扩大与经济发展缓慢带来的各种问题，使得民众对政府的不满情绪增加，首任总统的长期执政逐渐成为矛盾的焦点。哈萨克斯坦政局表面平稳，但实际上暗流涌动。
2021 marks the 30th anniversary of Kazakhstan’s independence，the third year of Tokayev’s reign，and the last year of Kazakhstan’s “Dual Core Politics”. This year，Kazakhstan’s politics showed two characteristics：First，although the pace slowed down slightly，Tokayev’s reforms continued to advance，and its influence on Kazakhstan’s political，economic and social fields was also expanding. The main tone of Kazakhstan’s political reform in the new era has gradually become clear，that is，through the further development of a multi-party system，political competition and pluralism of opinions，strengthening the protection of the basic rights of citizens，and establishing “a strong president，a parliament that works，a government that is accountable to the people.” Second，the transition of power in Kazakhstan continues steadily. The first president Nazarbayev resigned from the chairmanship of Amanat Party，and Tokayev’s ruling status has been further strengthened，and he is trying to become a true “leader” in Kazakhstan’s various undertakings. However，with the deepening of Tokayev’s reforms and the firming of his ruling position，the differences among the Kazakh elites have widened. In recent years，various problems brought about by the expansion of people’s political participation and slow economic development have increased people’s dissatisfaction with the government，and the focus of the conflict is on the first president. The political situation in Kazakhstan is stable on the surface，but in fact undercurrents are surging.
