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阿尔及利亚军政危机的原因探析(1962~2019年)——基于军政关系...

文章摘要

军政关系是政治学的一个经典命题。军政关系协调性是这一命题中的一个重要议题。军政关系协调性观点侧重于考察军官团、政治精英和社会民众三者之间的对话、妥协和共同价值观,并试图通过构建三者之间的伙伴关系以避免军人干政。在阿尔及利亚案例中,军官团、政治精英和社会民众三者之间未能形成良好的互动与合作是该国历次军事政变的主要原因。军政关系协调论有效地解释了阿尔及利亚军政博弈不断升级的背后逻辑。未来,在民选政府(或文官政府)的统一领导下,军队保持适度的独立性与有限的干预能力仍将是阿尔及利亚军政关系难以改变的常态。

Abstract

Civil-military relations is a classic proposition in political science. Concordance theory is a key issue in this proposition. Concordance theory focuses on examining dialogues,compromises and common values among the military,the political elites and the citizenry,and considers that three partners should embrace a cooperative relationship in order to avoid military intervention. In the case of Algeria,the failure of interaction and cooperation among the military,the political elites and the citizenry are the main reason for the military interventions in the country. Concordance theory effectively explains the logic behind the escalating civil-military relations in Algeria. In the future,under the unified leadership of the popular government (or the civil government),the military remains moderate independence and limited intervention capacity,which will still be the normal state of civil-military game in Algeria.

作者简介
赵军:赵军,上海外国语大学中东研究所副教授,博士,(上海,200083)。
马文媛:马文媛,复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院2022级博士研究生(上海,200433)。