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非洲政治与安全形势动荡加剧

文章摘要

新冠肺炎疫情发生后,非洲的和平发展局面受到严重冲击,系统性危机开始浮现。疫情引发的经济社会危机全面向政治与安全领域传导,非洲地区大国局势震荡、军事政变大幅“回潮”、恐怖主义继续肆虐,非洲出现了近20年来少有的动荡局面。非洲此轮动荡主要是受到国际大环境的影响,深刻体现出非洲发展的脆弱性和易变性。面临复杂严峻的形势,非洲的机遇面依然存在。非洲国家正在不断抑制选举政治的消极因素,寻求政治良性发展路径,人心思稳已是社会各界共识。在大国博弈时代,非洲对战略自主的追求更加强烈,非洲作为国际舞台“一大片力量”也会得到外界更多的重视,这需要非洲国家主动识变、应变、求变,开创和平发展新局面。

Abstract

After the COVID-19 outbreak,Africa’s peaceful development has been severely shaken and a systemic crisis has begun to emerge. The economic and social crisis triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic has been transmitted to the politics and security,with the situation of major countries in the African region shaken,military coups making a significant comeback,and terrorism continuing to rage,Africa has experienced a turbulent situation rarely seen in the past 20 years. This round of turmoil in Africa is mainly influenced by the international environment,which profoundly reflects the fragility and volatility of Africa’s development. In the face of this complex and challenging situation,Africa’s opportunities remain. African countries are constantly suppressing the negative elements of electoral politics and seeking a benign path of political development,and it is a consensus among all society that people want stability. In the era of great power competition,Africa’s pursuit of strategic autonomy has become more intense. In the meantime,Africa as an important force on the international stage will receive more attention from the outside world.

作者简介
黎文涛:黎文涛,中国现代国际关系研究院非洲所副所长,主要研究领域为非洲政治与安全。