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2019~2020年河南省居民消费价格走势分析

文章摘要

2019年前三季度,河南经济保持平稳运行态势,全省CPI同比上涨2.5%,继续延续前期温和上涨势头。本轮CPI明显上涨,结构性特征十分明显,食品类尤其是猪肉价格上涨是核心推动力,初步判断猪肉价格将在2020年下半年迎来拐点。总体预计2020年河南CPI同比涨幅不会超过3.0%,物价总水平仍将可控。最后,本文提出了2020年河南要多措并举促进生猪生产供应、强化生活必需品保供稳价、保障重点群体生活需求等政策建议。

Abstract

In the first three quarters of 2019,Henan’s economy maintained a stable running trend,with CPI of the whole province rising by 2.5% year-on-year,continuing the moderate growth momentum in the early stage. The CPI of this round has increased significantly,with obvious structural characteristics. The rising price of food,especially pork,is the core driving force. It is preliminarily estimated that the pork price will usher in a turning point in the second half of 2020. Overall,it is expected that the year-on-year increase of CPI in Henan Province will not exceed 3.0% in 2020,and the overall price level will still be controllable.

Keywords: HenanCPIPork Prices
作者简介
袁金星:袁金星,河南省社会科学院经济研究所副研究员,主要研究方向为国民经济、科技经济、产业经济。