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多米尼加:政府执政平稳,经济复苏强劲

文章摘要

2021年是现代革命党的阿比纳德尔执政的第二年,多米尼加迎来强劲的经济复苏,成为拉美地区经济增长率较高的国家,但走高的通胀率和趋紧的财政政策也给复苏的可持续性带来不确定性。政治上,新政府将打击腐败作为执政重点,多名前任和现任政府官员受到调查。在社会民生领域,新政府推出全新的社会保障项目,给付金额大幅提高,但覆盖人群有所减少。美国和海地依然是多米尼加外交领域的重点,多米尼加与海地关系的恶化有可能加剧双边冲突。

Abstract

2021 marks the second year of PRM’s Abinader administration. The Dominican Republic has seen a strong economic recovery,with one of the highest economic growth rates in the region. However,high inflation and contracted fiscal policy also created uncertainty on the sustainability of the rebound. The new government has made an anti-corruption campaign as its political priority,accompanied with investigations on several former and current government officials. On the social front,the new government has introduced a new social security program named Supérate,with significantly higher benefits but lower coverage. The United States and Haiti remain the diplomatic priority of the country,and the deterioration of relations with Haiti might exacerbate the bilateral conflict.

作者简介
史沛然:史沛然,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为计量经济学。