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多重冲击下拉美国家的国际金融安全

文章摘要

新冠肺炎疫情叠加乌克兰危机产生的不利冲击正在塑造世界经济新格局,对国际金融安全形成了较大的影响。全球变局极可能引发新一轮全球金融危机和大规模的经济衰退。对于易受外部因素影响的拉美国家来说,其长期面临债务、汇率和资本流动、金融制裁等威胁国际金融安全因素的束缚。新冠肺炎疫情发生后,拉美国家在债务、资本流动、股市等领域面临较大的风险,这些国家也采取了一定的应对措施。随着全球通货膨胀压力加大、美联储货币政策进一步紧缩、全球供应链不稳、新技术革命带来的“数字鸿沟”等矛盾的激化,拉美国家面临的国际金融风险恐将进一步加大。

Abstract

The adverse impact of the COVID-19 and the Ukraine Crisis conflict is shaping the new pattern of the world economy,which has a big impact on international financial security. Global changes are likely to trigger a new round of global financial crisis and large-scale economic recession. For Latin American and Caribbean countries that are vulnerable to external factors,they have long been constrained by factors that threaten international financial security,such as debt,exchange rate,capital flow,and financial sanctions. After the outbreak of the COVID-19,Latin American and the Caribbean countries are facing greater risks in debt,capital flow,and the stock market,and these countries have also taken certain measures. With the intensification of global inflationary pressures,the further tightening of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy,the breakdown of the global supply chain,and the intensification of the “digital gap” brought about by the new technological revolution,the international financial risks faced by Latin American and the Caribbean countries may further increase.

作者简介
王飞:王飞,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所经济研究室副研究员,主要研究方向为拉美经济。