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财政发展独立性指数的国际比较

文章摘要

报告基于财政发展独立性指数的指标体系,结合当前财政领域热点问题,构造多个具有代表性的独立性指标,对世界主要的15个国家开展比较研究。通过15个国家比较分析后发现:中国的小口径宏观税负水平较低且逐年下降,不过中国中口径和大口径下的宏观税负水平相对而言较高;中国的财政恩格尔系数、民生支出密度处于较低水平;中国财政赤字风险不容小觑,财政自给率水平相比于其他国家较低;中国政府负债水平和债务成本较低,不过应警惕地方政府城投债较高、流动性金融资产较少和债务成本上升的风险。

Abstract

Based on the indicator system of fiscal development independence index and in view of the current hot issues in the fiscal field,this paper constructs a number of representative independence indicators and makes a comparative study of 15 major countries in the world. This paper finds that China’s small-caliber macro tax burden was at a low level and was decreasing year by year,while China’s medium-caliber and large-caliber macro tax burden levels were relatively higher;China’s fiscal Engel coefficient and livelihood expenditure density were at a low level;the risk of China’s fiscal deficit cannot be underestimated and the level of fiscal self-sufficiency was lower than other countries;China’s government debt level and debt cost were lower,but we should be alert to the risks of higher urban investment debt of local governments,less liquid financial assets and rising debt cost.

作者简介
宁静:宁静,经济学博士,副研究员,硕士生导师,中央财经大学财经研究院财政指数研究中心主任,北京财经研究基地研究人员,研究方向为地方财政、财政分权等。
林光彬:林光彬,经济学博士,教授,博士生导师,中央财经大学财经研究院院长,北京财经研究基地首席专家,研究方向为政治经济学、财政学理论、国家理论与市场理论、中国经济。