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2021~2022年柬埔寨、老挝、缅甸、东帝汶四国的政治与经济形势

文章摘要

在全球疫情的背景下,柬埔寨、老挝、缅甸、东帝汶四国遭受疫情大流行的冲击,各国的政治与经济形势均呈现一系列新变化。缅甸从民选政府回归到军人掌权,老挝人民革命党选举产生了新的中央领导机构,东帝汶举行独立以来第五次总统选举,柬埔寨政局保持基本稳定。除缅甸外,柬埔寨、老挝、东帝汶经济呈现复苏的态势,国内外需求有所扩大,主要产业部门增速由负转正。由于国内政局动荡和疫情肆虐,缅甸经济出现严重下滑。近期,在联合国最不发达国家的三年审查中,柬埔寨、老挝、缅甸、东帝汶四国是否达到毕业标准、能否成功“摘帽”引发热议。

Abstract

In the context of the global epidemic,the four Southeast Asian countries are suffering from the impact of the pandemic,and the political and economic situation of each country also presents a series of new changes. Myanmar returned from civilian government to military rule,the Lao People’s Revolutionary Party elected a new central leadership,and Timor-Leste held its fifth presidential election since independence. Combodia remains stable. With the exception of Myanmar,the economies of the three Southeast Asian countries showed a trend of recovery,with domestic and foreign demand expanding and the growth rate of major industrial sectors turning from negative to positive. Myanmar’s economy has suffered a severe downturn due to domestic political turmoil and the ravaging epidemic. Recently,in the United Nations’ three-year review of the least developed countries,whether the four Southeast Asian countries meet the graduation standards and successfully “take off the hat” has aroused heated debate.

作者简介
那文鹏:那文鹏,厦门大学国际关系学院/南洋研究院世界经济专业博士生。