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疫情对菲律宾的影响和杜特尔特政府应对政策分析

文章摘要

当前全球范围内,新冠肺炎疫情尚未得到全面控制。伴随卫生、经济、社会生活的不确定性和防控工作的长期化,菲律宾进入新冠肺炎疫情“新常态”。疫情“新常态”对菲律宾宏观经济、旅游业和人民生活等造成极大冲击,但也推动了该国电信、电商、电子支付等数字产业的发展。应对疫情“新常态”,杜特尔特政府采取了多方面措施,除坚持严格的社区隔离政策外,其在国际社会争取疫苗供应,且制订了疫苗接种计划、经济复苏计划与旅游恢复计划,这些计划的有序展开为菲律宾走出疫情阴影提供了有利条件。本文对疫情影响下的菲律宾在2020~2021年的国内状况和政策应对进行总结分析,认为尽管杜特尔特政府在短期内面临诸多挑战,但仍可期待其带领菲律宾较为平稳地走出疫情。

Abstract

Currently,the COVID-19 pandemic has not yet been brought under control globally. With the uncertainty of health,economics,and social life and the prolonged prevention and control measures,the Philippines has entered the pandemic’s “new normal”. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a great impact on the Philippines’ macroeconomic conditions,tourism,and people’s lives,but it has also promoted the development of the country’s digital industries such as telecommunications,e-commerce,and digital payments. In response to the “new normal”,the Duterte government has taken various actions. In addition to adhering to the strict community isolation policy,it strives for vaccine supply in the international community,and its vaccination plan,economic recovery plan and tourism recovery plan are being carried out,providing favorable conditions for the Philippines to emerge from the shadow of COVID-19. This report summarizes and analyzes the domestic situation and policy response of the Philippines from 2020 to 2021 under the epidemic. This report believes that although the Duterte administration faces many challenges in the short term,it can still be expected to lead the Philippines out of the epidemic steadily.

作者简介
张宇权:张宇权,中山大学国际关系学院副教授,博士生导师。
王冠雄:王冠雄,中山大学国际关系学院研究助理。