您好,欢迎来到一带一路数据库!

全库
全文
  • 全文
  • 标题
  • 作者/机构
  • 关键词
  • 主题词
  • 摘要
高级检索
热词推荐: 能源基础设施

2020~2021年菲美关系:有限回暖,未来走向仍有变数

文章摘要

2020~2021年,在经过一段时间的低位运行之后,菲美关系有所回暖。特朗普倾向于“孤立主义”,杜特尔特坚持独立自主,不断冲击菲美双边关系;拜登上台后积极修复全球伙伴关系,推动菲美政治关系回暖。菲美军事合作曾因菲律宾单方面提出终止《访问部队协议》而严重受挫,但两国防务关系未发生根本性倒退,两国军事合作有所增强。此外,美对菲在突发灾害以及经济社会方面的援助有效巩固了美菲同盟的社会基础,菲国内民调数据也反映出两国关系回暖的民意基础。由于杜特尔特推行大国平衡外交战略,菲美关系的回调将局限在一定范围内。此外,新冠肺炎疫情、人权问题、两国国内问题以及两国与第三方国家之间关系等将为菲美关系的前景带来变数。菲美关系的调整也将对中菲关系的发展造成影响。

Abstract

In 2020-2021,after a period of low-level operation,relations between the Philippines and the United States have recovered. Donald Trump is inclined to isolationism,and Rodrigo Duterte insists on independence,which constantly shocks the bilateral relations between the Philippines and the United States. However,Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. takes office to actively repair the global partnership and promote the warming of the political relations between the Philippines and the United States. Philippine-US military cooperation has been seriously frustrated by the Philippines’ unilateral proposal to abolish the “Visiting Forces Agreement”(VFA),but there has been no fundamental setback in defense relations between the two countries,and military cooperation between the two countries has increased. In addition,the U.S. assistance to the Philippines in sudden disasters and economic and social aspects has effectively consolidated the social foundation of the Philippine-American alliance,and the opinion polls in the Philippines also reflect the public support for warmer relations between the two countries. Because Duterte pursues a diplomatic strategy which balances the power of the great powers,the callback of Philippines-US relations will be limited to a certain range. In addition,COVID-19 pandemic,human rights issues,domestic issues and relations between the two countries and the third-party countries will bring variables to the future of Philippine-American relations. The adjustment of Philippine-US relations will also have an impact on the development of Philippine-China relations. Therefore,China should pay full attention to this situation and prepare for the latest trends.

作者简介
冯雷:冯雷,中山大学“一带一路”研究院研究员。
卞雯洁:卞雯洁,中山大学国际关系学院研究助理。