秘鲁经济在2019年增长率为2。2%，为2009年以来的新低。2020年受新冠肺炎疫情的影响，GDP衰退11。1%。2021年秘鲁及时采取措施后疫情得到控制，经济大幅反弹，增长率达到13。5%。本报告第一部分介绍了目前影响秘鲁经济发展的主要因素。第二部分分析了秘鲁2022年上半年经济发展状况。第三部分着重阐述了秘鲁的财政与货币政策及其政策效果。第四部分剖析了秘鲁与中国经贸合作关系。最后，本报告对秘鲁2022年经济形势进行了展望。为了继续恢复经济，2022年秘鲁政府采取了宽松的财政政策与紧缩的货币政策；2020年外贸显著滑坡，但2021年大幅反弹；中秘双边贸易有一定潜力；失业率处于较高水平。2022年，受俄乌冲突带来的国际能源和粮食价格上涨等影响，秘鲁经济复苏的速度会放缓，预计2022年秘鲁的经济增长速度为2。5%
The growth rate of Peru’s economy in 2019 was 2.2%，a new low since 2009. In 2020，affected by the COVID-19 pandemic，GDP declined by 11.1%. In 2021，after Peru took timely measures to control the pandemic，the economy rebounded significantly，with a growth rate of 13.5%. The first part of this report introduces the main factors that currently affect Peru’s economic development. The second part analyzes Peru’s economic development in the first half of 2022. The third part focuses on Peru’s fiscal and monetary policies and their effects. The fourth part analyzes the economic and trade cooperation between China and Peru. Finally，the report looks forward to the economic situation in 2022. In order to continue to recover the economy，the Peruvian government adopted a loose fiscal policy and a tight monetary policy in 2022；foreign trade declined significantly in 2020，but rebounded sharply in 2021；China-Peru bilateral trade has certain potential；the unemployment rate is at a high level. In 2022，affected by the rise in international energy and food prices brought about by the Russia-Ukraine conflict，Peru’s economic recovery will slow down. It is estimated that Peru’s economic growth rate will be 2.5% in 2022.
