法澳潜艇合同是法美特殊关系的延伸,是法国亚太地缘政治雄心的基石,同时也是美澳两国施压法国站队制华议程的杠杆。法澳潜艇合同的“夭折”意味着美国遏华战略的激进升级。美国显然是这一地缘政治逆变事件的主谋,而澳大利亚是合谋者,法国是站队者,英国是站台者。美国在亚太复制冷战剧本,倚重军事实力和军事同盟遏华,或加剧法国对美依附化、欧洲对美附庸化和中美关系对抗化。
The French-Australian submarine deal was at the same time an extension of the US-France special relationship,a cornerstone of Paris’ Asia-Pacific geopolitical ambitions and a lever for the US and Australia to counter China. The torpedoing of the transaction denotes a radical escalation by Washington of its containment strategy against Beijing. In this geopolitical infighting,Washington,Canberra,Paris and London apparently acted,so to speak,as the choreograph,the captor,the captive and the cheerleader,respectively. Washington is scheming to replicate the cold-war script in the Asia-Pacific and contain China primarily through military muscle and military alliances. The implications are arguably threefold:aggravation of Paris’ dependence on Washington,aggravation of Europe’s vassalization vis-à-vis America,and aggravated confrontational US posturing vis-à-vis Beijing.