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新千年的“民粹主义”与“法国大革命范式”的终结——以意大利为例

文章摘要

在所有西方国家,传统的政治模式都已无法吸引大部分选民,“民粹主义”趁势崛起。在20世纪下半叶建成福利国家后,发达经济体的结构性要素已发生改变,而西方民主也因缺乏面向未来的理想设计和清晰“使命”而正在沦为“孤儿”。在意大利,虽然“民粹主义”力量已上台执政,但是“五星运动-联盟党”联合政府还是失败了。当前意大利活跃着两股“民粹主义”力量:其一是马泰奥·萨尔维尼领导的联盟党,带有怀旧的主权主义和独断、不民主色彩;其二是五星运动,主张用直接民主应对明显的代议制民主危机,但是未能证明其执政能力。真正的症结在于,以往得到中产阶级支持的社会契约正在走向失败。传统的政治力量无法提出面向未来的方案,而这正在催生一种普遍的不安全感。这种不安全感首先体现在对“异己”的厌恶和对“造墙”的热衷上,还表现在不断制造新的“外部敌人”。总之,伴随过去两个世纪资本主义发展和西方政治体制建立的“法国大革命范式”如今已接近终结。

Abstract

In all western countries,“populism” occupies the space of the traditional political offer which no longer finds appeal for large sections of the population. The structural elements of the advanced economies,after having produced the welfare state in the second half of the twentieth century,have shifted and changed,leaving the western democracies orphans of both ideality and a clear “mission” for the future. In Italy,the “populism” have occupied the rooms of power,but the “Movimento 5 Stelle-Lega” (Five Star Moviment-League)government has failed. In the Peninsula two “populisms” act. The first,Matteo Salvini’s “League”,looks to the past and is tinged with nostalgic sovereignty,seasoned with authoritarian and undemocratic nuances. The second,that of the Five Star Movement,draws on instances of direct democracy,in response to the obvious crisis of representative democracy,but does not show itself capable of winning the government’s bet. The real knot is that the social pact,supported by the consensus of the middle class,is failing. The incapacity and the impossibility to produce an idea of the future,is generating a widespread sense of insecurity that manifests itself first and foremost in the aversion to the different,and in the construction of walls,real and psychological ones,to block migration flows and in the creation of new “external enemies”. We can say that we are close to the exhaustion of what can be seen as the paradigm of the French Revolution that has accompanied the capitalist development of the last two centuries,with the corollary of the construction of democratic systems in the West.

作者简介
〔意〕阿尔贝托·巴尔达齐:阿尔贝托·巴尔达齐(Alberto Baldazzi),记者,政治评论家,意大利政治、经济与社会研究所(Eurispes)副主席,L’Eurispes.it网站编辑。
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