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2020年阿拉伯国家和以色列建交对欧盟中东政策的影响

文章摘要

在特朗普政府的极力鼓动下,阿联酋和巴林在2020年9月与以色列建立全面的外交关系。阿拉伯国家和以色列建交,意味着以色列在中东的地缘政治环境得到改善,同时为巴以问题的解决增加了新变数,这些变化无疑使中东形成了更加复杂的地缘政治局面。欧盟为了更好地实施其中东政策,实现“自身安全”这一战略目标、有效维护地区和平与稳定,一方面需要建立更为独立的中东战略,减少美国政府干涉,掌握地区政治博弈的先机与主动权;另一方面还需要解决内源性矛盾,加速培养周边国家和社会的“韧性”,提升欧盟吸收外部冲击和适应相关变化的动态能力。

Abstract

Under the strong encouragement of the Trump administration,the UAE and Bahrain established full diplomatic relations with Israel respectively in September of 2020. The establishment of diplomatic relations between Arab countries and Israel means that Israel’s geopolitical environment in the Middle East has improved,adding new variables to the settlement of the Palestinian-Israeli issue. These changes have undoubtedly created a more complex geopolitical situation in the Middle East. In order to better implement its Middle East policy,achieve the strategic goal of its “own security”,and effectively maintain regional peace and stability,the EU needs,on the one hand,to establish a more independent Middle East strategy,by reducing the interference of the U.S. government,grasping the first opportunity,and undertaking initiatives in the regional political game,and on the other hand,to resolve endogenous contradictions,accelerate the cultivation of “resilience” in neighboring countries and societies,and enhance the dynamic ability of the EU to absorb external shocks and adapt to relevant changes.

作者简介
贾烈英:贾烈英,北京语言大学国际关系学院院长、教授、博士生导师。
郝博闻: