2020年是特朗普执政的最后一年,特朗普中东政策由此画上句号,拜登可能在未来开启不一样的中东政策,但过高估计美国政治循环造成的中东政策变化会造成误判。特朗普执政四年,中东地区已经发生结构性变化,不是继任者可以轻易扭转的。本报告首先简要总结中东局势的变化,在此基础上总结特朗普的中东政策,并分析其影响。
2020 is the last year of the Trump administration,which brings Trump’s Middle East policy to an end and Biden may introduce a different Middle East policy in the future. However,overestimating the changes in U.S. Middle East policy caused by the its political cycle can result in misjudgment. Four years into the Trump administration,the Middle East has undergone structural changes that cannot be easily reversed by a successor. This paper presents a brief summary of the changes in the Middle East situation,and on this basis,summarizes Trump’s Middle East policy and analyzes its impact.