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2020年大洋洲国家对外经贸合作进展及2021年展望

文章摘要

受新冠肺炎疫情蔓延、国际经贸摩擦持续以及中澳关系紧张等多重因素叠加影响,大洋洲国家对外贸易整体下滑,但主要大洋洲国家与中国的贸易相对稳定;吸引外商直接投资和对外直接投资均大幅下降。澳大利亚与新西兰签署《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》、新西兰与中国签署升级版自由贸易协定等,是主要大洋洲国家推动对外经贸合作和区域经济一体化的亮点。展望未来,新冠肺炎疫情的发展态势与防控成效、美国经济形势与政策以及大洋洲国家与中国的关系等,都将对大洋洲国家对外经贸合作产生重要影响。

Abstract

Affected by the COVID-19 spread,the international economic and trade frictions and Sino-Australian tensions,the Oceania countries’ foreign trade declined as a whole,but the trade between the major Oceania countries and China was relatively stable. Both outward foreign direct investment and inward foreign direct investment of Oceania countries decreased significantly. The signing of “Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement(RCEP)” of both Australia and New Zealand and the signing of the Upgraded Free Trade Agreement between New Zealand and China are the highlights of major Oceania countries in promoting foreign economic and trade cooperation and regional economic integration. Looking ahead,the COVID-19 pandemic situation and the effectiveness of prevention and control,the US economic situation and policies,and the relationship between Oceania countries and China will all have important influence on Oceania countries’ foreign trade and economic cooperation.

作者简介
贾中正:贾中正,经济学博士,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员。
徐秀军:徐秀军,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,中国社会科学院澳大利亚、新西兰与南太平洋研究中心特约研究员。