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2016~2020年沙特经济转型评析

文章摘要

“2030愿景”是沙特为摆脱对石油的依赖,实现经济多元化发展的经济转型计划,未来城建设与对外投资则是“2030愿景”的核心内容。2020年,受新冠肺炎疫情和油价下跌影响,沙特石油收入减少,财政困境日显。未来城建设等大型项目暂缓实施,沙特对外投资风险上升,并出现亏损。拜登政府上台后,美国重新审视美沙关系,对沙特产生负面影响。受诸多不利因素影响,“2030愿景”目标恐难如期实现,沙特经济转型困难加大。

Abstract

Saudi Arabia’s “Vision 2030” is an economic transformation plan to diversify its economy from oil dependence,with the construction of NEOM and foreign investment being the core elements. In 2020,Saudi Arabia’s financial difficulties have become apparent due to the decline in oil revenues as a result of COVID-19 and the drop in oil prices. The implementation of large-scale projects such as NEOM construction is on hold,and Saudi Arabia’s foreign investment risks have increased,losses having been incurred. Since the Biden administration took office,the U.S. has re-examined the U.S.-Saudi relationship,which has had a negative impact on Saudi Arabia. At the joint work of these unfavorable factors,the goal of “Vision 2030” may not be realized as scheduled,and Saudi Arabia’s economic transformation will become more difficult.

作者简介
丁隆:丁隆,上海外国语大学中东研究所教授。
李楠:李楠,对外经济贸易大学外语学院博士研究生。