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2021年俄罗斯对后苏联空间外交

文章摘要

2021年,俄美、俄欧关系持续走低,没有改善的迹象。后苏联空间依然是俄罗斯外交最优先方向。俄罗斯依托该地区三大组织——独联体、欧亚经济联盟和集体安全条约组织——发展与后苏联空间各国的联系。在美军撤出阿富汗背景下,俄罗斯加大对中亚局势的关注。在独联体和集体安全条约组织框架下密切与中亚各国的军事关系,召开多次会议并举行多次军事演习。俄罗斯与乌克兰关系持续恶化,已然陷入对立,甚至走到战争边缘。俄罗斯与白俄罗斯关系得到较大程度提升,特别是在俄白联盟国家框架下,两国达成多项经济协议,一体化步伐大踏步前进。俄罗斯在调节亚美尼亚与阿塞拜疆冲突中扮演重要角色,所产生的地区影响力持续提升。俄罗斯将摩尔多瓦、格鲁吉亚与乌克兰一样视为北约东扩的“红线”。

Abstract

In 2021,the Russia-US and Russia-EU relations have continued to deteriorate and shown no sign of improvement. Thus,the post-Soviet space remains the top priority of Russia’s diplomacy. Generally,Russia relied on the three major organizations in the region,the Commonwealth of Independent States,the Eurasian Economic Union and the Collective Security Treaty Organization to strengthen its ties with countries in the post-Soviet space. In the context of the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan,Russia has paid more attention to Central Asia,and maintained close military relations and held many military exercises with Central Asian countries under the framework of the Commonwealth of Independent States and the Collective Security Treaty Organization. The relations between Russia and Ukraine have been further deteriorated,even to the brink of war. The relationship between Russia and Belarus has been greatly improved,especially under the framework of the Russia-Belarus Union. The two countries have reached a number of economic agreements,and the pace of integration has made great strides. The regional influence of Russia continued to grow by mediating Armenia’s conflict with Azerbaijan and Moldova,Ukraine and Georgia are still recognized as the redline for NATO’s expansion.

作者简介
刘丹:刘丹,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所俄罗斯外交室助理研究员,博士。