当前,世界处于“百年未有之大变局”。美国维护霸权的逆全球化、单边主义、民粹主义和贸易保护主义等一系列做法,给现行国际秩序增加了更多不确定与不稳定因素;其他西方国家在右翼与极右翼浪潮冲击下,国内社会分化对立严重、矛盾加剧,分歧同步加大;众多发展中国家在经历西方国家干预而使本国始终处于动荡不安后,开始寻找符合自身国情的发展模式。“大变局”的发展趋势,将使得现有世界格局的“金字塔”结构向“扁平化”结构转变,从而使世界呈现更加公正平等的态势。中国在走近世界舞台中央的过程中,将贡献全球安全治理体系的中国方案。中国企业作为“走出去”的主体,在更加复杂的国际环境中将迎接更多挑战。当然,这个进程将是一个漫长的过程,特别是美国为继续保持在国际关系中“食物链”顶端的位置,必将制造更多的麻烦、问题和冲突,使世界更加动荡不安。受世界格局重构的影响,在未来相当长的时期内,国际安全态势必将更加复杂多变。
The world today is going through Changes of A Kind Unseen in A Century. Counter Globalization,Unilateralism,Populism and Trade Protectionism maintains United States’ hegemony,which increases the uncertainty and instability of current international order. In western countries,right-wing power and far right tide intensify social differentiation and opposition as well as contradiction,result in wider divergence. After domestic turmoil intervened by western countries,many developing countries starts seeking development model for their own national conditions. Development tendency of Changes will be remoulding the world pattern from Pyramid to flat design,which means a world of more fairness and justice situations. Certainly,that progress is a longtime process,especially when United States makes more troubles at the top of ‘food chain’,with the world in turmoil. Affected by the world pattern remoulding,international security situations will be more complicated and changeable in long time.