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2010~2020年中国对意大利投资:发展、影响与前景

文章摘要

本文关注近年来中国对意大利投资的发展状况及影响。基于公司被收购后业绩表现的最新详尽数据,本文发现,中国在意大利的收购对目标企业整体上产生了积极影响,多数企业营收增加,就业提升,相关业绩指标改善。本文还通过案例研究展示了令中国收购取得成功的影响因素。中国对意大利直接投资快速增长正在引发诸多关切。最大的担忧在于,意大利方面认为“掠夺性投资”会将技术和其他战略资产从意大利企业单向转移至中国。考虑到特定行业的外国直接投资,尤其是投资者为国有企业时,可能会给国家安全或公共秩序带来风险,欧盟和意大利出台了新法规,对外国直接投资进行更严格的筛选。意大利政府趋于谨慎的态度影响了中国对意投资。一方面,一些政党和利益相关者以不充分的安全风险为由,迫使政府扩大“黄金权力”的使用范围,以阻止外国对“战略性”行业或龙头企业的收购,这可能会在未来大大减少中国投资者的机会。另一方面,虽然绿地投资始终受欢迎,但是中国要显著增加在欧洲的此类投资可能需要较长时间,也需要技术升级。

Abstract

This article focuses on the development and impact of Chinese FDI in Italy in recent years. Using new and detailed post-acquisition performance data,the article shows that Chinese acquisitions in Italy had an overall positive impact on target companies. The majority of them experienced an increase in turnover,employment,and other performance variables. Some case-studies illustrate the factors that can turn a Chinese takeover into a success story. The rapid growth of Chinese FDI is raising many concerns. The most important is the fear of predatory investments with a one-sided transfer of technology and other strategic assets from acquired Italian firms to China. New regulations in Europe and Italy add to this the risks to national security or public order arising from FDI in specific industries,particularly when the investor is state-owned enterprise of a third country. This is making the screening of inward FDI increasingly more restrictive. The article shows how a more cautious attitude of the Italian government towards China is affecting Chinese FDI in Italy. On one hand,some political parties and stakeholders are pressing the government to extend the use of the “golden power” to block foreign acquisitions in “strategic” industries or national champions,even if there are no strict security reasons. This could significantly reduce the opportunities for Chinese investors in the future. On the other hand,greenfield investment is always welcome,but China probably needs more time and technological updating to increase this type of investment in Europe.

作者简介
〔意〕塞尔焦·帕巴:塞尔焦·帕巴(Sergio Paba),意大利摩德纳雷焦艾米利亚大学经济系经济政策教授,意大利当代中国研究中心(CSCC)委员会成员,先后于2013年、2015年在上海科技大学和对外经济贸易大学担任客座教授。
〔意〕钦齐亚·帕罗利尼:钦齐亚·帕罗利尼(Cinzia Parolini),摩德纳雷焦艾米利亚大学经济系战略专业教授,博科尼大学管理学院高级教授。
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