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2021~2022年意大利政治:迈向“下一代欧盟”

文章摘要

2021年初意大利爆发政府危机,最终导致孔特二期政府倒台。德拉吉组建“技术-大联合政府”后,意大利主要政党均经历新变化甚至动荡。民主党迎来新任书记前总理莱塔,五星运动则由刚卸任总理的孔特掌舵。中右阵营方面,联盟党和意大利力量党加入政府,与意大利兄弟党分歧加大。2021年,德拉吉凭借其专业能力和国际声望为意大利政府带来了短暂的稳定。在10月举行的市政选举中,民主党成为最大赢家,中右阵营未能延续大区选举中的强劲势头,五星运动则遭遇溃败,选举结果表明意大利已回归“两极”政党格局。在此背景下,莱塔试图重建“橄榄树联盟”,但前景并不乐观。总体而言,“下一代欧盟”计划是推动2021年意大利政局变化的最重要外部变量。2022年,各政党将围绕总统选举、市政选举和选举法改革继续展开激烈博弈。

Abstract

The Italian government crisis in early 2021 eventually led to the fall of the Conte Ⅱ government. After Draghi formed a “technical-grand coalition government”,Italy’s main political parties have been experiencing new changes and even turmoils. The Democratic Party has elected its new secretary,former Prime Minister Enrico Letta,and the Five-Star Movement now is at the helm of Conte,who just resigned as Prime Minister. As for the center-right coalition,the support of the Lega and the Forza Italia to the new government has increased their conflicts with the Brothers of Italy. In 2021,Draghi brought a temporary period of stability to the Italian government thanks to his professional capacity and international reputation. In the local elections held in October,the Democratic Party has become the biggest winner,while the center-right coalition failed to continue its strong momentum and the Five Star Movement suffered a heavy defeat. The election results show that Italian party system has reverted to bipolarism. In this context,Letta tried to rebuild a new “Olive Tree”,but the prospects are not encouraging. Overall,the NextGenerationEU plan is the most important external variable which caused the recent political changes in Italy. In 2022,all political parties will be in a tight game around the presidential election,local elections and electoral law reform.

作者简介
石豆:石豆,南开大学意大利语系讲师,天津翻译协会理事,主要研究领域为意大利语言文化、意大利政党政治。