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2020年世界钢铁工业低碳发展分析

文章摘要

本文在对全球和代表性国家钢铁工业生产现状进行分析的基础上,系统分析全球和代表性国家钢铁工业发展现状和CO2排放趋势,发现:(1)世界钢铁工业CO2排放量集中度较高,大多数国家钢铁工业CO2排放量呈现先上升后趋于平缓的特点;(2)多个国家吨粗钢CO2排放量和高炉煤气消耗热量呈下降趋势,电弧炉炼钢占比呈上升趋势,这些国家通过调整生产方式、优化能源结构有助于减少碳排放;(3)基于1990~2019年30个国家的数据的实证结果表明,粗钢产量、城市人口的增加会导致钢铁工业CO2排放量的增加,钢铁工业贸易开放度的扩大、金融发展水平的提高会减少钢铁工业的CO2排放量,而人均GDP与钢铁工业CO2排放量呈“倒U”形关系。

Abstract

The low carbon development report of the world iron and steel industry focuses on the theme of global low carbon development of iron and steel,analyzes the production status of the world’s representative countries iron and steel,and discusses the CO2 emission trend of the world’s top ten countries with crude steel output. It is found that (1)The CO2 emission concentration of the world’s iron and steel industry is high,the CO2 emissions in most countries tend to be flat after an upward trend;(2)Several world’s crude steel producing countries showed a downward trend in carbon emissions per ton of steel and consumption of blast furnace gas and proportion of blast furnace steelmaking,indicating that those countries are improving carbon emissions by adjusting production mode and optimizing energy structure;(3)The empirical study using the data of 30 countries from 1990 to 2019 show that the increase of crude steel and urban population will lead to the increase of carbon dioxide emissions from the iron and steel industry;The expansion of trade openness and the improvement of financial development level will reduce carbon dioxide emissions from the iron and steel industry;The relationship between per capita GDP and carbon dioxide emission of iron and steel industry presents an inverted U-shaped relationship.

作者简介
邵燕敏:邵燕敏,北京科技大学经济管理学院副教授,研究方向为绿色技术创新、效率评价方法与应用。
李俊龙:李俊龙,北京科技大学经济管理学硕士研究生,研究方向为绿色经济与低碳发展。
胡怡文:胡怡文,北京科技大学经济管理学院博士研究生,研究方向为绿色技术创新。