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2020年斐济经济、政治、外交发展评析

文章摘要

在2018年斐济大选中,姆拜尼马拉马政府以微弱优势险胜获得独立组阁权,由于反对党无法在关键法案的推进中对执政党造成威胁,执政党可以完全按照自身意愿制定策略。这也从侧面激发了斐济国内主要的反对党——社会民主自由党内部矛盾的爆发及重组。中斐两国在疫情期间加强了防疫抗疫、警务以及贸易等方面的合作,但中国投资者及侨民的大量流失对斐济疫情防控常态化下的经济发展仍然是一个重创。美国特朗普政府执政后期,在斐济国内经济形势压力逐步加大的前提下,一个更加激进的“印太”战略也成为影响斐济政治、外交走向的重要因素。

Abstract

Since the Bainimarama government narrowly won the right to form an independent cabinet in the 2018 general election in Fiji,the ruling party has been able to develop its strategy exactly as it wishes as the opposition parties remain unable to pose a threat to the ruling party in the advancement of key orders. This has also stimulated the outbreak of internal conflicts and reorganization within the main opposition party in the country,the Social Democratic Liberal Party. China and Fiji have strengthened cooperation in epidemic prevention and control,policing and trade during the epidemic,but the massive loss of Chinese investors and expatriates has still been a major blow to Fiji’s post-epidemic economic development. A more aggressive Indo-Pacific strategy has also become an important factor influencing the political and diplomatic direction of Fiji in the later stages of the Trump administration and under the increasing pressure of Fiji’s domestic economic situation.

作者简介
杨鸿濂:杨鸿濂,南太平洋岛国亚洲研究院研究员、秘书长,聊城大学太平洋岛国研究中心特约高级研究员,《斐济日报》总编辑。
赵嘉琦:赵嘉琦,枣庄学院外国语学院英语专业学生。
赵少峰:赵少峰,博士,聊城大学太平洋岛国研究中心教授,博士生导师。