From 2020 to 2021，two consecutive military coups took place in Mali. Behind the coup d’état was the struggle and cooperation of three political forces，namely，the political group of young military officers，the group of professional politicians，and the populist political forces led by Islamic religious leaders. The political arrangements of the transitional government after the Mali coup showed that the coup officers had a strong will to hold power for a long time. Faced with the pressure of international sanctions，the coup officers chose to cooperate with populist political forces. This series of political changes shows that the electoral logic under the Western-style multi-party democracy system has failed in Mali. The seemingly compliant elections can neither reflect the true public opinion nor solve the governance crisis in Mali. Strongman politics and populism are on the rise. An anti-Western government led by military strong men，close to Islamic religious figures，is seeking to rule Mali for a long time. Based on this，this article predicts that the military government may refuse to hand over power after the end of the transition period，trying to extend the transition period or achieve long-term governance. The security situation in Mali will deteriorate due to French military sanctions.