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2020年加拿大政党政局

文章摘要

新冠肺炎疫情于2020年3月左右开始在加拿大蔓延,2021年3月已经出现第三波。特鲁多政府若想要提高支持率,寻找机会提前大选并夺回多数党执政地位,稳定疫情、提振经济和赢得民心是重中之重。因此,一年来,加拿大国内政治工作大部分都是围绕着疫情防控展开。联邦政府继续“不惜一切代价”大力投入资金以支持受到新冠肺炎疫情影响的各行各业、各类人群,以及对于控制疫情至关重要的疫苗等领域。这一系列的巨大投入一方面使得特鲁多的支持率上升,但另一方面也使得加拿大政府的财政赤字创下二战以来的最高纪录。在提前大选之前,特鲁多政府将继续维持高投入的财政支持,即便反对党不断地攻击这种破表的财政预算,但民众的支持率如果继续维持高位,特鲁多将有望在疫苗接种率达到一定程度后举行提前选举,重新夺回多数党执政地位。

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic,which began in Canada around March 2020,is now in its third wave. If the Trudeau administration wants to improve its popularity,find a chance to call an early election and regain the majority,stabilizing the pandemic,boosting the economy and winning the support of the people are the top priorities. So much of Canada’s domestic politics during this year has been about dealing with the pandemic. The federal government continues to invest heavily to support all industries and people affected by COVID-19,as well as areas such as vaccines that are critical to controlling the pandemic. The spending spree has boosted Trudeau’s popularity,but also pushed the government’s budget deficit to its highest level since the second world war. Before an early general election,The Trudeau administration will continue to maintain high investment of financial support,even if the opposition party kept the watch of the budget,but if the high public approval rating continues,Trudeau is expected to launch an early election after vaccination rates have reached a certain degree,to retake the majority ruling status.

作者简介
唐小松:唐小松,博士,广东外语外贸大学国别和区域高等研究院加拿大研究中心主任,研究方向:加拿大政治与外交。