菲律宾是“21世纪海上丝绸之路”的重要沿线国家,本文通过对中菲两国贸易总额、产品结构和投资情况的归纳,分析了中菲经贸合作的现状,探析了杜特尔特政府对“一带一路”倡议的态度转变及其原因,展望了“破冰之旅”后中菲经贸合作的前景。当前,中菲经贸合作中还存在南海仲裁案的负面影响、双边贸易不平衡、贸易结构竞争性大于互补性、菲律宾国内投资风险大、基础设施落后且亟须更新换代等问题。面对上述问题,中菲双方应加强合作,携手共同应对,以促进两国经贸关系长期稳定发展。
The Philippines is an important country along the way of “the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road”. This paper summarizes the current situation of Sino-Philippine economic and trade cooperation through the analysis of China-Philippines trade in their total trade volume,product structure and investment situation. Meanwhile it discusses the change in the attitude of Duthel Te administration to “the Belt and Road” initiative and the reasons for such change. Focus has also been shifted to the high-level visits between China and the Philippine and their upcoming cooperation projects after their ice-breaking trip. At present,the Sino-Philippine economic and trade cooperation is still negatively influenced by the following factors including the South China Sea Arbitration Case,the bilateral trade imbalance,the competitiveness over complementarity in their trade structure,the Philippine domestic investment risk and its backward infrastructure that needs renewing. In the face of these challenges,China and the Philippines should strengthen cooperation and work together to promote their long-term and stable development.