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中国与东盟双边贸易的平衡问题初探——以投入产出分析的视角

文章摘要

本文采用投入产出分析法,根据最终需求者和生产提供者,确定中国与东盟贸易利得的分配原则,使用总值贸易和增加值贸易,揭示贸易利得在中国与东盟之间的分配格局,即2011~2016年中国对东盟均是顺差,但总值贸易顺差被高估,增加值贸易所体现的实际贸易利得更低;总值贸易和增加值贸易基本一致,价值链生产参与程度与贸易利得基本呈反向关系。

Abstract

This paper uses the input-output analysis method,according to the consumer and producer,to investigate the distributions of China-ASEAN trade profits. The gross trade and the value added trade reveal the distribution patterns of trade gains between China and the ASEAN. In the past six years,China was a surplus to the ASEAN,but the gross trade surplus was overestimated,and the real trade gains reflected by the value added trade were lower. The gross trade and the value added trade are basically consistent,but the degree of participation in GVC is basically in reverse relationship with the gains of trade.

作者简介
李南:李南,厦门理工学院经济与管理学院讲师,经济学博士。