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外生冲击、移民政策嬗变对英国营商环境的影响评估(2020)

文章摘要

营商环境涉及社会经济改革和对外开放,是一个国家软实力的重要体现,也是其国际竞争力的重要方面。本报告研究发现:第一,脱欧后的英国营商环境在全球排名出现显著波动;第二,英国与欧盟通过达成贸易协定避免“硬脱欧”,但是其经济社会环境、市场环境等指标不确定性增强,对英国营商环境构成显著的负面影响;第三,在新冠疫情冲击下,英国各项经济指标急剧下滑陷入经济衰退,营商环境受到直接冲击;第四,英国移民政策不再受到欧盟影响,新的移民体系旨在降低移民数量、淘汰低技能劳工、在全球范围内“抢夺”精英,这对营商环境具有显著的正面影响。

Abstract

The business environment involves social and economic reforms and opening to the outside world. It is an important manifestation of a country’s soft power and an important aspect of its international competitiveness. The research found in this article:First,the UK’s business environment after Brexit fluctuates significantly in the global ranking;second,although the UK and the EU finally reached a trade agreement to avoid a “hard Brexit”,the economic,social,The market environment and other indicators are facing greater uncertainty,which has a significant negative impact on the British business environment;third,under the impact of the new crown epidemic,various economic indicators in the UK have fallen sharply into economic recession,and the business environment has been directly affected;Fourth,the British immigration policy is no longer affected by the European Union. The new immigration system aims to reduce the number of immigrants,eliminate low-skilled workers,and “grab” elites worldwide,which has a significant positive impact on the business environment.

作者简介
程永林:程永林,广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院教授,研究方向为国际政治经济学、国际金融。
陈丹仪:陈丹仪,暨南大学管理学院研究生。