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2011~2021年缅甸政治转型与经济发展

文章摘要

2011年起,缅甸经历了从军人统治向民选政府的转型,尤其是2015年11月以昂山素季为首的全国民主联盟赢得大选。民盟政府上台后,提出了民族和解、经济发展和修宪三大任务。2020年11月,现执政党民盟在大选中再获全胜,即将开始第二个五年的执政。缅甸政治转型后,国内经济取得较快增长,社会发展指标有所提升,而疫情席卷全球重创了缅甸经济。同时,缅甸政府实施平衡外交战略,逐步改善了缅甸的国际政治环境,但也加剧了大国在缅的竞争态势。2021年2月,缅甸军方因不满大选结果重新接管政权,由此缅甸十年的政治转型又从民选政府回归到军人掌权,未来缅甸政治经济发展态势引人关注。

Abstract

Since 2011,Myanmar has experienced the transition from military rule to elected government,especially in November 2015,the National League for Democracy(NLD)led by Aung San Suu Kyi won the general election. After the NLD government came to power,it put forward three major tasks:national reconciliation,economic development and constitutional revision. In November 2020,the current ruling party,the Democratic League,won a complete victory in the general election and was about to begin its second five-year term in power. After Myanmar’s political transformation,the domestic economy has achieved a relatively fast growth rate,and the social development indicators have been improved. However,the spread of the global epidemic in 2020 has hit Myanmar’s economy hard. At the same time,the Myanmar government implemented the balanced diplomatic strategy,which gradually improved the international political environment of Myanmar,but also intensified the competition situation of major powers in Myanmar. In February 2021,Myanmar’s military took over power again due to its dissatisfaction with the results of the general election. Since then,Myanmar’s ten-year political transition has returned from the elected government to the military. The future political and economic development trend of Myanmar is of great concern.

作者简介
杨程玲:杨程玲,经济学博士,汕头大学东南亚研究中心讲师。