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秘鲁:政局动荡,改革任重而道远(2020~2021)

文章摘要

2020年,秘鲁政局动荡,一年内更换两任总统、政府更迭、大规模示威游行等一系列政治事件为深陷疫情重灾区的秘鲁增添诸多风险。秘鲁经济严重衰退,宽松的宏观经济政策适度缓解了国内需求下降,经常账户赤字收窄,通货膨胀率保持在目标范围内。受政治形势、经济形势及疫情影响,秘鲁劳动力市场各项指标表现创历史最差,民众社会地位下降,危机感和不满情绪滋生,社会动乱频发。外交方面,秘鲁与中国开展抗疫合作,双边关系稳步推进。

Abstract

In 2020,Peru was in political turmoil. A series of political events added many risks to Peru,including three presidents in one year,change of government,large-scale demonstrations and deeply affected by the pandemic. Peru’s economy fell into a severe recession,with loose macroeconomic policies moderating the decline in domestic demand,narrowing the current account deficit and keeping inflation within target. Affected by politics,economy and the epidemic,the performance of various indicators in Peru’s labor market had been at its worst in history. The sense of crisis and dissatisfaction have grown,as well as social unrest having occurred frequently. On the diplomatic front,Peru and China carried out anti-epidemic cooperation,and bilateral relations achieved a steady progress.

作者简介
郑猛:郑猛,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所助理研究员,研究方向为世界经济、发展经济学。