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疫情下中德经贸投资关系的韧性与发展前景

文章摘要

近年来中德经贸关系发展势头良好,但两国经济竞争性逐渐提升。新冠肺炎疫情给中德经贸往来造成了巨大冲击,全球产业链供应链中断,同时也对中德经贸往来提出了新的挑战。本文以疫情为背景,从宏观、投资和价值链层面分析中德经济关系面临的挑战,之后再从这三个角度出发,阐述两国之间的经济韧性和依赖性。本文认为,虽然新冠肺炎疫情给两国经贸往来带来了一定的负面影响,但是随着两国双边贸易的增加以及机械和汽车产业融合日益加深,双方经济合作已经进入了新的发展阶段。中国新一轮开放政策将为两国在“后疫情时代”的经济复苏提供动力。

Abstract

Economic and trade relations between China and Germany have developed well over recent years,but competition between the two economies is gradually increasing. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a huge impact on economic and trade exchanges between China and Germany. The global industrial and supply chain has been disrupted,and this has brought new challenges to Sino-German economic relations. Taking the pandemic as backdrop,this paper analyzes the challenges of Sino-German economic relations from the macro,investment and value chain levels;it then explores the economic resilience and mutual dependence of the two countries from these three perspectives. We find that although the pandemic has had a negative impact on economic and trade relations,economic cooperation between the two sides has entered a new stage of development because of growing bilateral trade and the deepening integration of the machinery and automobile sector. China’s new round of opening-up policies will provide an impulse for the economic recovery of both countries in the post-pandemic period.

作者简介
寇蔻:寇蔻,经济学博士,北京外国语大学德语学院讲师,研究领域为德国经济、中德经贸关系、创新。
史世伟:史世伟,经济与社会科学博士,对外经济贸易大学外语学院教授,研究领域为中国与德国经济政策、中德经贸关系。