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德国反防疫抗议运动:背景、特征与影响

文章摘要

随着新冠肺炎疫情在德国的蔓延,疫情危机迅速从公众卫生威胁演化为激烈的社会震荡,这集中体现为德国反防疫措施抗议运动的爆发。反防疫措施抗议运动爆发的背景与德国社会问题密切相关,疫情所导致的不平等现象的加剧以及民众的“防疫疲劳症”都为抗议运动的爆发埋下了种子。与传统抗议运动相比,此次德国反防疫措施抗议运动规模更大、持续周期更长,主要原因在于抗议运动所体现出的新特征:一是,抗议参与者的多元化;二是,社交媒体推动的阴谋论与虚假信息的迅速传播。虽然抗议运动增大了德国疫情防控的难度,造成一定程度上的社会动荡,但是,在德国对围绕新冠肺炎疫情的虚假信息传播的有效遏制以及民众民粹主义价值观退潮等因素的影响下,民众对政府抗疫举措的信任依然是德国主流民意的大势所趋。尽管如此,伴随着疫情走势的不确定性和民粹主义思潮复归的风险,未来德国的社会形势仍有可能出现波动。如何在推行防疫政策的同时,维护社会稳定、团结和公平,依然是摆在德国联邦政府面前的棘手问题。

Abstract

The rapid spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany has developed from a public health threat to a violent social upheaval which has pivoted in the eruption of an anti-lockdown protest movement. This movement is closely associated with general social problems in Germany. The aggravation of social inequality and “lockdown fatigue” contributed to the outbreak of the protests. Compared with traditional demonstrations,the scale and duration of these anti-lockdown protests are unprecedented. This can be attributed to two new characteristics:on the one hand,the diversity of the participants in the protests;on the other hand,the speedy spread of conspiracy theories and disinformation via social media. The protest movements have increased the challenge of fighting the pandemic and caused social instability. Due to Germany’s effective curbing of the spread of COVID-19-related disinformation as well as a sharp decline in populist attitudes,trust in the government’s measures regarding pandemic prevention and control prevails,however,in public opinion. Nevertheless,given the uncertainty regarding the development of the pandemic and the risk of a return of populism,social tensions are still likely to loom ahead. How to maintain social stability,solidarity and equality while implementing the lockdown measures remains a thorny issue for the federal government.

作者简介
玄理:玄理,法学博士,同济大学德国问题研究所/欧盟研究所博士后,主要研究领域为欧洲政党政治、民粹主义。