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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

2020年世界电力市场:供需、消费与贸易

文章摘要

2020年世界经济总量下降约4。4%,全球电力需求下降2%左右,这是自20世纪中叶以来的最大年度降幅,除了中国和越南等少数经济体实现了电力需求正增长外,全球多数国家和地区电力行业都经受了较大挫折。在2021年初实施严格防疫措施下,北半球的夏季和秋季许多经济体电力需求有所回升,但包括美国、印度、欧洲、日本、韩国和东南亚在内的主要国家仍全年下滑。其中,燃煤、燃气、核能等发电量均下降,与发电相关的二氧化碳排放量在2020年下降5%,降幅远大于全球电力需求降幅。继2020年的冲击之后,预计2021年电力市场将温和反弹,需求增长受到新兴和发展中经济体的推动。

Abstract

The world economy will fall by about 4.4% in 2020 and global electricity demand will fall by about 2%,the biggest annual decline since the middle of the 20th century,with most countries and regions experiencing setbacks not seen in decades,with the exception of a handful of economies such as China and Vietnam,which have seen positive growth in electricity demand. Many economic demand in the northern hemisphere picked up in the summer and autumn of 2021,thanks to stringent hygiene measures in early 2021,but major countries,including the United States,India,Europe,Japan,South Korea and Southeast Asia,continued to decline throughout the year. Among them,coal,gas,nuclear power and other power generation volumes have declined,and co2 emissions associated with power generation will fall by 5% in 2020,a much larger decline than the decline in global electricity demand. Following the impact in 2020,the electricity market is expected to rebound modestly in 2021,with demand growth expected to be driven by emerging and developing economies.

作者简介
马建胜:马建胜,北京丝路新时代能源咨询有限公司董事长。
赵皓月:赵皓月,中国石油天然气销售四川分公司预算管理员。