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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

2020年世界天然气市场:供需分析与未来展望

文章摘要

2020年,受新冠肺炎疫情以及国际油价下跌等多重因素影响,全球天然气市场需求疲弱、产量下滑,但供需宽松加剧。LNG液化项目产能增速放缓,但供应过剩仍加剧。LNG液化项目投资严重萎缩,但投资者信心仍有望迅速恢复。三大天然气市场天然气价格在上半年创历史新低,但又在年末再度走高。2021年以来,全球天然气市场已多方面表现出复苏迹象。预计2021年,全球天然气市场景气度将明显回升,LNG液化项目投资将逐步恢复,市场价格大幅反弹,供需两侧竞争加剧。买方市场向卖方市场转变趋势初现。

Abstract

In 2020,due to COVID-19 and the fell of Brent oil price fell and other factors,the global natural gas market demand was weak and output declined,but the supply and demand increased. LNG liquefaction project capacity growth slowed down,but oversupply intensified. Investment in LNG liquefaction projects has shrunk seriously,but investor confidence is still expected to recover rapidly. The prices of the three major natural gas markets hit a record low in the first half of the year,but rose again at the end of the year. Since 2021,the global natural gas market has shown signs of recovery in many aspects. It is estimated that in 2021,the global natural gas market will pick up significantly,the investment in liquefaction projects will gradually recover,the market price will rebound sharply,and the competition between supply and demand will intensify. The buyer’s market is changing to the seller’s market.

作者简介
白桦:白桦,经济学博士,中国石油集团经济技术研究院高级经济师,主要从事能源市场研究工作。