2013年，阿拉伯世界依然处于后“阿拉伯之春”的震荡与发酵期，无论是内部政治、经济和社会形势发展，还是外部关系，都陷于动荡与不安。转型期国家尚未从大乱中摆脱并实现大治，大国博弈持续但合作有所加强，地区国家间关系趋于复杂，分离主义和以“基地”为核心的恐怖主义威胁明显回潮，这些都使得人们很难对2014年的阿拉伯总体发展产生十分乐观的预期。
In 2013，the Arab world is still in the “Arab Spring” shock and fermentation period. Domestic political，economic and social developments，as well as foreign relations，are still in a state of turmoil and unrest. Full transition from chaos to order is yet to be achieved;the great power game continued while cooperation was also somewhat strengthened;relations between countries in the region are becoming quite complex;separatism and Al-Qaeda-centered terrorist threat are turning rather severe. All things considered，it is difficult to make very optimistic expectations for the overall development of the Arab countries in 2014.
