2013年埃及“6·30革命”以后,埃及穆斯林兄弟会(简称“穆兄会”)被埃及塞西政权列为恐怖组织,遭到严厉镇压,其骨干成员或被捕,或流亡海外,或重新转入地下活动。历史上,穆兄会在埃及法鲁克王朝、纳赛尔、萨达特和穆巴拉克政权期间,也曾多次面临类似的“灭顶之灾”,但是,这个老牌的政治伊斯兰组织深深扎根埃及社会,每次都能超越自我,实现东山再起。本文试图通过梳理“6·30革命”以来埃及穆兄会势力在国内外的生存状况,探讨穆兄会目前所面临危机的特殊性,并分析这个老牌政治伊斯兰组织未来可能的发展趋势。
After Egypt’s “6.30 Revolution” in 2013,the Muslim Brotherhood of Egypt was classified as a terrorist organization by the Sisi regime. By analyzing the current living conditions of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood forces at home and abroad,this paper tries to explore the particularities of the crisis currently facing the organization in Egypt and abroad,as well as the possible development trend of this old political Islamic organization in the future.