在上海服务“一带一路”建设的进程中，数据是评估工作现状、发现未来行动方向的重要依托。本文利用数据分析了疫情冲击下上海与共建“一带一路”国家的合作情况。数据分析显示，在遭遇疫情冲击的不利局面下，上海依然与共建“一带一路”国家保持了积极的合作势头，相应贸易与投资数据在初期出现下滑后，2020年后半期仍然实现了逆势上涨。同时，本报告立足长三角地区，系统对比江苏、浙江与上海三地服务“一带一路”建设的实施领域与发展绩效。分析显示，江浙沪三地2020年均与共建“一带一路”国家保持了良好的合作势头，并且呈现不同的特色。在贸易领域，江苏、浙江与共建“一带一路”国家在2020年保持了强劲的发展势头，进一步扩大了对共建“一带一路”国家的出口。而上海则在保持增长的同时，进一步发挥自身消费中心城市的作用，从共建“一带一路”国家进口的数量维持增长势头。在投资领域，数据显示，2020年上海保持了在江浙沪三地中的引领地位，而疫情对浙江与江苏的海外投资造成了一定冲击。除系统描述和区域比较外，本报告首次利用联动矩阵模型，进一步加强了对上海服务“一带一路”建设与相应共建“一带一路”国家的发展之间的联动研究。此外，本报告还分析了上海与共建“一带一路”国家在经济发展、产业结构，国家治理、社会稳定四个方面的发展成熟度、潜力挖掘率、发展探索率等，从而为上海进一步优化“一带一路”合作布局提供一定参考。
During the process of Shanghai’s participation in Belt and Road Initiative，Data support is the basic foundation of working situation assessment and discovery of future working direction. The report of data analysis of Shanghai’s role in BRI implementation analyzes Shanghai’s role in BRI implementation given the background of COVID-19 pandemic. The data reveals that despite the adverse shock of pandemic，Shanghai maintains a positive cooperation trend with BRI co-partnering countries. Despite the shrinkage of trade and investment volume in the initial months of 2020，Shanghai has reversed the downward trend in both trade and investment in the last months of 2020. What’s more，the report has also conducted a regional comparative analysis on Shanghai，Jiangsu and Zhejiang’s role in implementing BRI. The result reveals that all of Shanghai，Jiangsu and Zhejiang have maintained a robust cooperative trend with BRI co-partnering countries and bear different regional characteristics. In the field of trade，Jiangsu and Zhejiang have both expanded the export volume to BRI co-partnering countries，while Shanghai is giving a full play to its potential as the hub of global consumption，which increase the import volume from BRI co-partnering countries. In the field of investment，based on the data analysis，Shanghai has maintained the leading role when compared with Jiangsu and Zhejiang and the pandemic has exerted some negative impact on the oversea investment for Zhejiang and Jiangsu. Based on systemic description and regional comparison，the report for the first time uses the model of linkage matrix，which strengthens the analysis of relation between Shanghai’s role in implementing BRI and internal development of BRI co-partnering countries. Based on the construction of linkage analysis of four dimensions（economic development，industrial structure，internal governance，social stability），the report discovers the degree of the cooperation maturity，discovered potentiality，development risks between Shanghai and BRI co-partnering countries，which help Shanghai further improve the cooperation arrangement of Belt and Road Initiative.
