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2007年委内瑞拉发展报告

文章摘要

2007年委内瑞拉的发展态势不太平稳。年初查韦斯总统开始其新一届总统任期,并积极寻求在未来6年内把社会主义理念付诸实践,推动委内瑞拉的社会变革。修宪行动的失败表明,查韦斯的变革前途多艰。委内瑞拉经济处于一个较长的繁荣周期之中,GDP增长率在拉美和加勒比地区位居前列,但同时面临严重的通胀问题。委内瑞拉一方面注重在地区事务中发挥积极作用,以能源合作为动力,推动拉美地区一体化;另一方面重视加强同俄罗斯、白俄罗斯、伊朗等其他国家的关系。委内瑞拉失业率不断下降,劳动者的工资待遇得到明显改善,政府继续大力实施社会福利计划。

Abstract

President Hugo Chávez started his new term of presidency in early 2007 and proclaimed that he would implement his ideas of the 21st century socialism in the next six years by pushing forward social reforms. His failure at the referendum in early December,however,indicated that his camp is not as strong as imagined.Venezuela’s economy is in a cycle of strong growth,the highest in Latin America. Nevertheless,high inflation rate has become a challenge for President Chavez’ ability to govern the nation. By taking advantage of its huge oil revenues,Venezuela is playing an active role in regional affairs. In addition to engaging in cooperation with other Latin American countries,Venezuela has also been making efforts to develop relations with Russia,Belarus and Iran. Social situation in 2007 is relatively stable,with unemployment rate declining and wages rising. The government continues to carry out its social welfare programs. However,there are still several unfavorable factors that tend to hinder government’s ability to maintain social stability.

作者简介
王鹏:法学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所副研究员,拉美发展与战略研究室主任,兼任中美洲和加勒比研究中心秘书长。主要从事拉美政治体制、拉美政党和中拉关系研究。多次前往拉美国家访问参会,作为访问学者在美国加州大学圣迭戈分校伊比利亚拉美研究中心访学1年。在《拉丁美洲研究》《当代世界》《人民日报》《中国社会科学报》等期刊和报纸上发表拉美研究文章数十篇。