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危地马拉

文章摘要

危地马拉科洛姆总统的执政根基并不牢固,在党内外都遇到严峻挑战。2009年5月,涉及总统的“律师谋杀案”一度使国内出现严重政治危机。由于在议会中的力量薄弱,新政府难以推进多项立法和改革措施。2008年以来,危地马拉经济受到国际金融危机冲击,2009年出现近20多年来的首次衰退。年初政府提出的反危机措施成效有限。受干旱影响,农业歉收造成国内粮荒;国内消费和投资萎缩,建筑业、旅游业等产业大幅下滑,失业人数增多;出口和侨汇收入减少,本币出现贬值;政府税收减少,财政赤字增多。国内暴力犯罪问题突出,社会贫困现象严重。在对外关系上,2009年5月的国内政治危机引起国际社会的普遍关注;与美国的关系因移民问题而受到影响;与周边国家的关系有所改善,但洪都拉斯发生的政变给中美洲地区的稳定带来不确定性。

Abstract

President Colom’s political foundation does not seem firm enough for him to avoid facing severe challenges from both within and outside the party. The Murder of Lawyer Rodrigo Rosenberg dragged the country into a political crisis. Due to its weak control in parliament,the new government found it difficult to get various law bills approved to promote relevant reforms. The country’s economy started to suffer from the international financial crisis since 2008 and reported the first recession in 2009 of the past 20 years as counter-crisis measures adopted by the government at the beginning of the years produced limited results,agricultural output losses were translated into famine,domestic consumption and investment shrank,construction,tourism and other industries slumped,more people lost jobs,exports and remittance decreased,currency depreciated,government revenue diminished and fiscal deficit expanded. Violent crime became rampant and poverty was spreading. With regard to international relations,the domestic political crisis in May caught worldwide attention,its relations with the US were affected by the issue of immigration,and ties with neighbor countries were improved. However,Honduras coup put Central America’s stability in uncertainties.

作者简介
房连泉:房连泉,2006年毕业于中国社会科学院研究生院,获经济学博士学位。现为中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所社会文化室副研究员。