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2011年中国投资发展回顾及2012年展望

文章摘要

受外需下降以及我国经济结构战略性调整的影响,2011年我国固定资产投资增速下降。投资市场整体规模稳定增长,但投资活跃度下降;房地产、证券市场趋冷,私募股权、信托、银行理财、艺术品等市场火暴;投资收益率降低,短期固定收益类产品受到追捧。展望2012年,由于宏观经济环境难以出现实质性转好趋势,预计固定资产投资增速仍将平稳下降。投资市场规模保持低速增长,投资活跃度进一步下降;房地产市场难以好转,私募股权投资市场热度将下降,信托产品仍将受到投资者的关注,银行理财产品仍是投资者的重要选择,而证券市场可能将出现一定的回暖。

Abstract

Influenced by the shrinking of external demands and the strategic adjustment of economic structure, China's fixed asset investment growth rate dropped in 2011. The size of investment market raised steadily, but investors became less active; the real estate market and securities markets cooled down, and the private equity, trust, bank financial management and art markets were growing hot; investment return rate was lowered, and the short-term fixed-income products were sought after. Looking forwards to 2012, as it is difficult for the macroeconomic environment to improve substantively, the fixed asset investment growth is expected to continue declining steadily. The expension of the investment market would remain slow, and investors are likely to become even less active; the real estate market will be difficult to rebound, the private equity market will cool down, trust products will still be the focus of investors' attention, financial products launched by banks will still be an important choice for investors, and the stock market will pick up to some extent.
作者简介
北京市社会科学院“北京区县文化竞争力比较研究”课题组:执笔:王健;课题组成员:金浩,胡瑞怀,王春光,朱康对,蒋儒标,任晓,陈中权.