受外需下降以及我国稳增长政策的影响,2012年我国投资市场规模平稳增长,但结构进一步分化。债券发行量激增,股票走出阶段性行情;信托、银行理财增长迅猛;房地产销量出现反弹;私募股权降温,公募基金实现正收益。展望2013年,由于经济逐渐回暖,投资市场规模将会进一步增长。证券市场继续上升的概率较大;房地产投资相对稳定,价格继续上升;银行理财收益率预计不会发生太大变化,信托仍是投资者的重要选择;私募股权投资市场热度继续下降。
Influenced by the shrinking of external demands and economic policy to maintain steady growth, the size of the financial market in China grew steadily in 2012 but the internal differentiation was significant.The size of bond issue increased sharply. The stock market fluctuation continued but outperformed better than 2011. The trust products and bank financial products were still heated.House sales volume shot up and price rose again. The private equity market slowed down while the mutual fund made a positive return as a whole. Looking ahead,in 2013, as the macroeconomic environment has been improving, the expansion of the financial market will continue at a faster rate. The probability that the stock market rises is large.Housing sales volume may maintain at a high level and the price continues to go up. We estimate that financial products launched by banks and trust products will remain attractive to investors, and the private equity market will cool down.