在国际贸易摩擦加剧、全球经济增长减速的背景下,2019年越南延续了2018年经济高速增长的势头,把握贸易替代和产能转移带来的发展机遇,多个行业的多项数据创历史新高。越南经济在稳步增长的同时,增长质量、开放程度、外资利用效果、营商环境改善等方面都有不同程度的提高,数字经济、旅游、能源等重要经济部门以及财政、金融资本、劳动力、房地产等发展向好。但是,越南经济作为外向型经济,无法回避经济结构不合理问题,而工业制造业发展质量不高、基础设施建设滞后、政府偿债能力欠佳等也进一步凸显了这一问题。随着新冠肺炎疫情在全球暴发,越南经济深受影响而增幅下降,其发展趋势在很大程度上将取决于疫情的走向。
Against the background of expansion and prolonging of international trade friction in 2019 and a slowdown in global economic growth,Vietnam has kept rapid economic growth as in the year of 2018,and achieved new records in multiple industries by taking the opportunities from trade substitution and production transfers. While growing steadily,Vietnam has got different improvement in terms of quality of growth,openness,effectiveness of foreign investment,and the business environment,also the sectors of digital economy,tourism,energy as well as finance,financial capital,labour and property. However,As an export-oriented country,Vietnam has to face with the problem of irrational economic structure,which is getting more and more outstanding along with the low quality of industrial manufacturing,lagging infrastructure construction and poor government solvency. With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in the world,Vietnam’s growth momentum has moderated since the beginning of 2020,and its development will depend largely on this epidemic situation.