2018年伊朗与沙特关系呈现阶段性变化的特点。2018年上半年,两国关系持续恶化,言语威胁升级,地区博弈不断加剧。7~8月,两国关系开始出现缓和迹象,伊朗主动表示愿与沙特改善关系,沙特方面也在吉达开设了伊朗利益代表处。但是,9月在伊朗发生的恐怖袭击事件让两国关系再次恶化,伊朗指责沙特是恐袭的幕后策划者并誓言武力报复。10月,卡舒吉事件的爆出让两国关系再次出现微妙变化。短期内两国之间不会爆发战争,但美国对伊朗的经济制裁和军事威胁为两国关系变化增加了不稳定因素。从中长期看两国关系存在缓和与改善的可能。
In 2018,the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia has changed in stages. In the first half of 2018,bilateral relations continued to deteriorate,speech threats escalated and regional games intensified. From July to August,there were signs of easing relations between the two countries. Iran offered to improve relations with Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia also opened a representative office of Iranian interests in Jeddah. However,the terrorist attacks in Iran in September worsened relations between the two countries. Iran accused Saudi Arabia of being behind the terrorist attacks and vowed to retaliate by force. In October,the outbreak of the Kashuji incident brought about another subtle change in relations between the two countries. There will be no war between the two countries in the near future,but the economic sanctions and military threats imposed by the United States on Iran have added instability to the changes in relations between the two countries. In the medium and long term,there is a possibility of mitigation and improvement between the two countries.
Keywords: | Bilateral RelationsSaudi ArabiaIran |