您好,欢迎来到一带一路数据库!

全库
全文
  • 全文
  • 标题
  • 作者/机构
  • 关键词
  • 主题词
  • 摘要
高级检索
热词推荐: 能源基础设施

2018年伊朗经济形势解析

文章摘要

2018年,伊朗经济在美国特朗普政府的一系列制裁下走向衰退。伊朗货币里亚尔出现大幅度贬值,石油出口面临极大的困难,国际资本纷纷撤离伊朗。受以上因素的影响,伊朗经济逐渐趋于萎缩;通货膨胀重新恶性上扬;本国制造业企业因失去外部技术与资本的支持出现严重困难;失业率开始上升,高学历失业群体庞大;对外贸易规模开始收缩。为了反制美国的经济制裁,伊朗政府采取了限制进口、强制外汇汇回国内的政策。另外,伊朗加强了与俄罗斯主导的欧亚经济联盟的联系,与欧盟试图建立绕开美元的独立支付系统,并与其他一些国家试图建立本币互换机制。未来伊朗经济能否摆脱危机要靠国际社会与伊朗的共同努力。

Abstract

In 2018,Iran’s economy went into recession under the comprehensive sanctions of the Trump Administration. Iran’s currency,the Rial,has depreciated sharply,oil exports have been facing great difficulties,and international capital has left from Iran. Affected by the above factors,Iran’s economy has gradually tend to shrink. Inflation has resumed its vicious rise. Domestic manufacturing enterprises faced serious difficulties due to the loss of external technology and capital support. Unemployment rate began to rise with a high education unemployment group. Foreign trade began to shrink. To counter U.S. economic sanctions,the Iranian government has restricted imports and forced the repatriation of foreign exchange,strengthened ties with the Russian-dominated Eurasian Economic Union,tried to establish an independent payment system that can bypass the dollar with the European Union,and tried to establish currency swaps with other countries. Whether the Iranian economy can get out of the crisis in the future depends on the joint efforts of the international community and Iran itself.

Keywords: SanctionEconomyIran
作者简介
韩建伟:韩建伟,上海外国语大学中东研究所副教授。