尽管缅甸政治转型启动以来,该国安全形势总体持续好转,然而武装冲突持续不断,长期存在的民族、宗教、经济以及社会矛盾并未缓解,呈激化态势。本报告主要关注缅甸国内安全形势的不确定性以及其对中国投资的长期潜在影响。本报告认为,缅甸国内的安全形势已经并将继续对中国投资构成长期的、潜在的威胁。
While the security situation in Myanmar has further improved since the beginning of its political transformation and democratic reforms in 2010,armed conflicts continues and long-standing structural ethnic,religious,economic,and social tensions have been unleashed and are intensifying. As the 2020 general election approaches,all parties in Myanmar have begun planning and layout for the election. The increasingly heated game surrounding the general election will be a destabilizing factor for Myanmar’s domestic security. This study shows that the uncertainty in Myanmar’s domestic security situation has and will continue to pose a long-term and potential threat to Chinese investment.