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2020年粤港澳大湾区市场一体化测度研究

文章摘要

本报告分别测算了粤港澳大湾区2009~2018年的商品市场一体化程度和要素市场一体化程度以及内部结构,并进一步探究了产业协同发展水平、对外开放水平吸引力、服务差距和交通差距对区域市场一体化的影响。本报告发现:港澳与珠三角九市之间的引力值绝大部分比较低,港澳与珠三角区域市场的联系程度有待提高。从整体上看,衡量粤港澳大湾区市场一体化程度的市场关联网络密度在0.5左右波动,且2016年粤港澳大湾区战略正式被提出后,粤港澳大湾区的商品市场一体化发展水平有了明显的提高,而要素市场一体化发展水平的下降趋势有所减缓,和长三角城市群相比,粤港澳大湾区市场一体化程度高于长三角城市群。从影响机制来看,产业协同是区域市场协同进程的主力军,对外开放水平为区域市场协同发展也做出了重要贡献。服务(医疗、教育)水平对市场协同发展存在一定的影响,但作用远小于产业协同和对外开放水平,而交通对区域市场一体化发展尚未做出贡献。

Abstract

This report measured the degree of commodity market integration and factor market integration and internal structure of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 2009 to 2018. In addition,this report further explore the impact of the four factors on the level of industrial co-ordination and development,the level of opening to the outside world,service gaps and traffic gaps. The study found that the overall gravitational value between Hong Kong and Macao and the Pearl River Delta is mostly relatively low,and the degree of connection between Hong Kong and Macao and the Pearl River Delta regional market needs to be improved. After the Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao Great Eras strategy was formally put forward in 2016,the level of commodity market integration has improved significantly,while the downward trend of the level of factor market integration has slowed down. Compared with the Yangtze River Delta city group,Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area are more integrated than the Yangtze River Delta city group. From the perspective of influence mechanism,industrial co-ordination and development is the main force of regional market synergies,and opening to the outside world has also made an important contribution. The service(medical care,education)level has a certain influence on the coordinated development of the market,but the effect is much less than industrial co-development and opening up to the outside world. Transportation has not yet contributed to the integration of regional market.

作者简介
周迪:周迪,广东外语外贸大学数学与统计学院讲师、中国计量经济史研究中心兼职研究员、粤港澳大湾区研究院兼职研究员、粤商研究中心兼职研究员,硕士研究生导师,主要研究方向为资源环境经济问题、贫困问题以及区域经济问题。